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Systemplays.com is your online source for sports betting picks and handicapping tools for the experienced and novice sports bettor alike. My name is Doug Fitz from systemplays.com. That is my real name and I live in Las Vegas. I have been betting sports since 1985. During most of that time I was like everyone else in that I would win a few, lose a few and my plays were based primarily on opinions and gut reactions. It came time to rethink and retool my rather typical, predictable methods which showed typical, predictable results. Over the past several years, I discovered that success in sports betting could only come by leaving emotions completely out of handicapping and replacing it with proven, statistical based analysis. With the ideas and research contributed by myself and my good friends and fellow handicappers, Vince Licciardi, Greg Martineau and Jeff Steinmetz; several proven systems based on relevant and realistic statistical data were established. We have researched every single one of them going back anywhere from 2 - 5 years for validation and confirmation of their results. Our systems were developed then researched based on the parameters we felt were meaningful and important. All of the regular or non-futures plays we post are based on one or more of these systems. We have developed systems for college and pro football, college and pro basketball and baseball. I personally wager on these selections as well. Please don't confuse our systems with trends or angles because they are completely different and trends/angles often do not hold up over periods of time. Trends and angles rely on a particular team's performance matched up against various and often irrelevant factors and are derived very often from the "backfitting" approach, namely; manufacturing a trend based on random past occurences. Our systems work for any teams within those systems' parameters and the proper research has shown them to be non-random situations. In addition to the plays based on systems, Greg Martineau solely contributes his futures plays which are based on his unique and highly successful statistical analysis on a variety of different sports. Some of his plays will be in the more traditional sports while others may be in non-traditional sports. His plays are located on the FUTURES page and they will be posted and documented as well. We will give you these plays completely free with no strings attached. Our motive is simply to establish and maintain a solid reputation and winning percentage. We will never promise or claim ridiculous 70-80% winning percentages over time because those claims are fairy tales no matter how good you are or what form of handicapping you use. Our records; good, bad or anywhere in between are always prominently posted on the site and our plays are independently monitored. We do not force any plays. If nothing comes up then we will not give out a play simply for the sake of making a play. On the other hand, certain days may produce several plays. Please remember that our plays are based on solid, proven statistical results. Our results are posted based on number of units plus or minus. All football and basketball plays are based on the standard -110 pricing unless otherwise noted when posted. Win/loss records are meaningless and deceptive, especially in baseball where plus prices can easily add up to a large profit with a losing win/loss record. As is the common practice and the easiest to understand, units will be based on $100. Speaking of profit, I recommend that you bet absolutely no more than 5 % of your bankroll ( 2-3 % is usually the right amount ) on any 1 game. Bet the same unit amount on each game basing your units on the above 2-5 % portion of your total bankroll. In other words, each play you make will fall within the 2-5 % chunk of your bankroll. If you increase your bankroll by $2,000, then increase your bet amount $100.00 or vice versa on the same decrease thereby insuring that you are risking no more than 5% of your bankroll on any 1 play and betting the same unit amount on each play. I recommend that you never bet ANY moneyline of –150 or higher in any sport or event and you will never see any play of -150 or more on this site. A good general rule in pro football would be to bet low priced underdogs on the moneyline if you feel they have a legitimate chance to win outright and play favorites laying the points. See the ARTICLES page for more on this. I believe this is sound judgment but an option best left up to you. All baseball plays given will be based on listed pitchers specified on the site. If there is an off pitcher, the play will be listed as no action ("NA"). I will not post any baseball plays that are -150 or higher. Speaking of baseball, we are very proud to achieve 1st place among all free or pay documented services in both win rate and net games in MLB run line plays for 2006 at BIGGUY.COM where all of the systems plays are monitored. We also finished the 2006 NFL season in 2nd place in both win rate and net games for all documented free services. The 2006/2007 NBA season produced a 2nd place finish in net games for all documented free services. Our record speaks for itself and I pledge our picks will never be posted for sale in any manner or form. Systemplays will make every effort to list our plays in a timely manner. I would like to thank James Rompel who helped me design this site. This endeavor would have been impossible without his time and assistance.
Please keep our name in mind. I hope you are pleased with our results. Thank you. Much Success,
Doug Fitz
SYSTEMPLAYS
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